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Sloane Stephens vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Stephens vs Kasatkina analysis and find out who is favored!
Sloane Stephens vs Daria Kasatkina Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Stephens 4 - 2 Kasatkina
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Stephens has won 48.6% of points on their second serve, while Kasatkina has won 41.91%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Stephens, in recent form, has won 53.46% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kasatkina has won 58.25%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.69% and 40.37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Stephens has saved 56.31% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kasatkina has saved 53.77% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Stephens has won 53.06% of matches played (W/L 26/ 23), with Kasatkina winning 64.29% (W/L 45/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Stephens has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 129/ 75), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 15/ 14). Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114).
- Player level: In the last year, Stephens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 12/ 8), where as Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Stephens winning 4 times and Kasatkina being victorious 2 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Stephens winning 9 and Kasatkina winning 7. The last match between Stephens and Kasatkina was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 11-03-2024, Third, Hard with Daria Kasatkina getting the victory 2-6 6-4 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:54:18.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Stephens and Kasatkina have played a deciding set 4 times, with Stephens winning 3 times and Kasatkina 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Stephens winning 0, and Kasatkina 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Stephens has played against opponents with an average rank of 75.94 while Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 112.7.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Stephens has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kasatkina has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Stephens has converted 38.69% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kasatkina has converted 48.32% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
35
Rank
3
High
31
Age
R
Plays
4
Total2
1
Hard2
3
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
13
Rank
8
High
27
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
Form
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
57% (362-270)
Career Total W/L
64% (365-206)
55% (17-14)
YTD W/L
63% (20-12)
$14,219,901
Career Prize Money
$8,149,976
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Sloane Stephens | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 9 | 7 |
| Games Won | 81 | 70 |
| Aces (Total) | 9 | 5 |
| DFs (Total) | 10 | 21 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:54:18 | 1:54:18 |
| 1st Serve % | 72% (362/504) | 71% (343/486) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 60% (219/362) | 58% (199/343) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 46% (65/142) | 46% (66/143) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 44% (30/68) | 45% (25/56) |
| Return Points W% | 45% (221/486) | 44% (220/504) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 67% (4/6) | 33% (2/6) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 33% (3/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 67% (3/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 67% (3/2) | 33% (3/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
Stats 
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Sloane Stephens
71%
(
65 of
91)
1st Serve %
67%
(
64 of
96)
1
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
1
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
35 of
64)
46%
(
12 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
46%
(
42 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
45 of
96)
94
Total Points Won
93
|
||||
| 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
76%
(
73 of
96)
1st Serve %
71%
(
65 of
91)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
66%
(
48 of
73)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
44 of
65)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
39%
(
37 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
36 of
91)
95
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
| 1-6 6-4 7-5 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
73%
(
60 of
82)
1st Serve %
79%
(
74 of
94)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
50%
(
30 of
60)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
36 of
74)
23%
(
5 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
9 of
20)
47%
(
9 of
19)
Break Points Won
56%
(
9 of
16)
57%
(
47 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
49 of
94)
84
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve %
75%
(
41 of
55)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
63%
(
27 of
43)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
20 of
41)
78%
(
7 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
35%
(
18 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
30 of
55)
64
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Sloane Stephens
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
63%
(
48 of
76)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
33%
(
16 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
76)
69
Total Points Won
56
|
||||
| 6-1 5-7 7-5 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
73%
(
74 of
102)
1st Serve %
63%
(
67 of
106)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
65%
(
48 of
74)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
37 of
67)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
36%
(
37 of
102)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
48 of
106)
113
Total Points Won
95
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Sloane Stephens | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 55% (17/14) | 63% (20/12) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 53% (38/34) | 57% (44/33) |
| Games Win/Loss | 51% (321/304) | 52% (377/355) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 50% (8/8) | 60% (12/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 60% (9/6) | 67% (8/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| Aces Total | 20 | 43 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.4 |
| DFs Total | 43 | 143 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:36:50 | 1:50:42 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 81.23 | 123.56 |
| 1st Serve % | 74% (1513/2048) | 68% (1667/2440) |
| 1st Serve W% | 61% (918/1513) | 60% (997/1667) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 49% (260/535) | 42% (324/773) |
| BPs Won% Total | 39% (106/274) | 48% (158/327) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (946/2158) | 47% (1162/2489) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (2/2) | 50% (2/2) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (6/6) | 50% (6/6) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 64% (9/5) | 75% (12/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 55% (17/31) | 63% (20/32) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 60% (6/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st set W, W | 82% (17/14) | 84% (19/16) |
| 1st set W, L | 18% (17/3) | 16% (19/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 21% (14/3) | 31% (13/4) |
Sloane Stephens Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Sloane Stephens
84%
(
42 of
50)
1st Serve %
69%
(
25 of
36)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
30%
(
15 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
21 of
36)
56
Total Points Won
30
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Magdalena Frech
Player
Sloane Stephens
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve %
76%
(
44 of
58)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
71%
(
15 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
6 of
14)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
31%
(
18 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
25 of
58)
66
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Olivia Gadecki
Player
Sloane Stephens
65%
(
36 of
55)
1st Serve %
74%
(
31 of
42)
4
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
72%
(
26 of
36)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
42%
(
8 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
38%
(
21 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
55
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 3-2 ret. | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Sloane Stephens
75%
(
45 of
60)
1st Serve %
67%
(
33 of
49)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
0
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
53%
(
8 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
33%
(
20 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
24 of
49)
64
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Maria Sakkari
Player
Sloane Stephens
58%
(
26 of
45)
1st Serve %
83%
(
34 of
41)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
14 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
54
Total Points Won
32
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
70 of
95)
1st Serve %
58%
(
48 of
83)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
6
67%
(
47 of
70)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
34 of
48)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
11 of
35)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
38 of
83)
99
Total Points Won
79
|
3-6 6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Martina Trevisan
75%
(
80 of
107)
1st Serve %
73%
(
98 of
134)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
64%
(
51 of
80)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
54 of
98)
44%
(
12 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
14 of
36)
29%
(
6 of
21)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
41%
(
44 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
66 of
134)
129
Total Points Won
112
|
6-3 5-7 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Magda Linette
82%
(
67 of
82)
1st Serve %
63%
(
57 of
90)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
33%
(
5 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
41%
(
34 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
45 of
90)
93
Total Points Won
79
|
6-1 2-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Caroline Garcia
78%
(
46 of
59)
1st Serve %
67%
(
38 of
57)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
46%
(
6 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
57)
65
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Yue Yuan
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
33 of
51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
62%
(
8 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
59
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Peyton Stearns
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61%
(
42 of
69)
1st Serve %
74%
(
48 of
65)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
57%
(
24 of
42)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
45%
(
31 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
35 of
65)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Magdalena Frech
61%
(
38 of
62)
1st Serve %
80%
(
51 of
64)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
79%
(
30 of
38)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
24 of
51)
38%
(
9 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
34 of
64)
73
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
53%
(
33 of
62)
1st Serve %
69%
(
40 of
58)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
64%
(
21 of
33)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Tatjana Maria
71%
(
51 of
72)
1st Serve %
51%
(
32 of
63)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
59%
(
30 of
51)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
14 of
32)
38%
(
8 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
10 of
31)
53%
(
8 of
15)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
47%
(
34 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
39 of
63)
77
Total Points Won
58
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Daria Kasatkina
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve %
77%
(
71 of
92)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
38 of
71)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
88
Total Points Won
74
|
3-6 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77%
(
67 of
87)
1st Serve %
62%
(
48 of
77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66%
(
44 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
25%
(
5 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
44%
(
38 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
79
|
7-6(5) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Cristina Bucsa
66%
(
71 of
108)
1st Serve %
80%
(
90 of
113)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
2
51%
(
36 of
71)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
43 of
90)
46%
(
17 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
71%
(
10 of
14)
51%
(
55 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
59 of
113)
112
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
36 of
71)
69
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65%
(
62 of
96)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
17 of
51)
50%
(
10 of
20)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
57 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
96
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
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